Brentford 1-1 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 27% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.81
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
13%
4.94
X/2
14%
7.25
X/X
15%
4.87
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
16%
5.12
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-11.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
38%
Away Win
28%
+10.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.64/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.28
+4% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
22.9 Crosses 17.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Everton
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.66 xG 1.46
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
408 Passes 279
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Everton Everton 0-0 HT 0-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
27.04.2024 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 0-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
23.09.2023 Brentford Brentford 1-3 HT 1-1 Everton Everton İNP
11.03.2023 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
27.08.2022 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 0-1 Everton Everton İNP
15.05.2022 Everton Everton 2-3 HT 2-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
1-1
AWAY Everton
1.48 xG 1.55
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
384 Passes 351
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brentford vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford and Everton shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Brentford had 52% of the ball to Everton's 48%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.48 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brentford and 1.33 for Everton.

What was the final score of Brentford vs Everton?

Brentford 1-1 Everton in the England - Premier League on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brentford 35%, draw 27%, Everton 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Everton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Everton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
26 Feb 2025
22:30 Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Analysis →
22:30 Tottenham vs Manchester City Analysis →
22:30 Manchester United vs Ipswich Town Analysis →
23:15 Liverpool vs Newcastle United Analysis →