Tottenham vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tottenham v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals
Tottenham vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 2-1
Tottenham
İNP
1-0
HT 1-0
Manchester City
İNP
Tottenham 0-1 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics
Manchester City squeezed past Tottenham 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tottenham had 56% of the ball to Manchester City's 44%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.33 to 2.12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tottenham and 1.17 for Manchester City.
What was the final score of Tottenham vs Manchester City?
Tottenham 0-1 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Manchester City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 28%, draw 22%, Manchester City 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.