Manchester City vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manchester City v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals
Manchester City vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 2-1
Tottenham
İNP
1-0
HT 1-0
Manchester City
İNP
4-2
HT 0-2
Tottenham
İNP
Manchester City 0-4 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics
Tottenham cruised past Manchester City 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Manchester City at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Manchester City had 58% of the ball to Tottenham's 42%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 2.14 to 2.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Manchester City and 1.33 for Tottenham.
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Tottenham?
Manchester City 0-4 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Tottenham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 59%, draw 21%, Tottenham 19%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Manchester City) went the other way.