Arsenal 3-0 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

Arsenal
3-0 HT 1-0
Nottingham Forest
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 25% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.15
X/1
25%
3.5
X/2
6%
14.2
X/X
8%
5.93
2/1
10%
24.3
2/2
10%
11.9
2/X
8%
20.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-9.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.0pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal v Nottingham Forest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -2%
2.06/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.67
+4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -13%
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
454 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.0 Crosses 12.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.35 xG 0.63
73% Ball Possession 27%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
601 Passes 177
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
43 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.01.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-2 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
12.08.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 2-1 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
20.05.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
30.10.2022 Arsenal Arsenal 5-0 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
09.01.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal FAK
24.09.2019 Arsenal Arsenal 5-0 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNLK

Arsenal 3-0 Nottingham Forest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal
3-0
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.19 xG 0.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
536 Passes 240
91% Pass Accuracy 81%
48 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal swept aside Nottingham Forest 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Arsenal had 66% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 34%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.19 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Arsenal and 0.67 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest?

Arsenal 3-0 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 56%, draw 23%, Nottingham Forest 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
23 Nov 2024
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