Fulham 1-4 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.97
6+ Goals
14%
8.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.93
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.75
X/1
15%
3.94
X/2
7%
11.6
X/X
9%
6.16
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
11%
8.54
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
16.4
Value flag · 2/X at 16.4 — our 9% vs market 3.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.53/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.59
-30% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +13%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
488 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
23.2 Crosses 15.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wolverhampton
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.55 xG 0.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
397 Passes 370
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
27.11.2023 Fulham Fulham 3-2 HT 1-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
24.02.2023 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 0-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
13.08.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
09.04.2021 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
04.10.2020 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
1-4
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.03 xG 1.32
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
463 Passes 325
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 23
28 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton cruised past Fulham 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fulham at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Fulham had 59% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 41%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.03 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fulham and 1.17 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Wolverhampton?

Fulham 1-4 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Fulham 52%, draw 24%, Wolverhampton 23%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fulham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fulham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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