Manchester United 3-2 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.03
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
14%
8.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 26% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.85
X/1
22%
4.03
X/2
7%
11.7
X/X
13%
6.25
2/1
8%
20.8
2/2
9%
9.33
2/X
7%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.8pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.97/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.57
-8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
415 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.9 Crosses 11.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ipswich Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.80 xG 1.59
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
568 Passes 349
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 11
7 Crosses 16
24.11.2024 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
23.09.2015 Manchester United Manchester United 3-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNLK
27.04.2002 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
22.09.2001 Manchester United Manchester United 4-0 HT 2-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
23.12.2000 Manchester United Manchester United 2-0 HT 2-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
22.08.2000 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
3-2
AWAY Ipswich Town
0.72 xG 1.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
298 Passes 388
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United squeezed past Ipswich Town 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Manchester United had 45% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 55%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.72 to 1.43 — on chances, Ipswich Town could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Manchester United and 0.33 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Ipswich Town?

Manchester United 3-2 Ipswich Town in the England - Premier League on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 51%, draw 26%, Ipswich Town 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
26 Feb 2025
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