Fulham 2-2 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
51%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.4
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.0
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
8%
8.36
X/2
17%
4.55
X/X
8%
4.94
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.5
2/X
7%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 54%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.20/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.55
+1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -37%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 83%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
22.4 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Liverpool
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.85 xG 1.57
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
290 Passes 497
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2025 Fulham Fulham 3-2 HT 3-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
14.12.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 2-2 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
21.04.2024 Fulham Fulham 1-3 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
24.01.2024 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNLK
10.01.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 2-1 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNLK
03.12.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 4-3 HT 2-2 Fulham Fulham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
2-2
AWAY Liverpool
0.72 xG 1.37
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
386 Passes 563
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 33
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham and Liverpool shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fulham had 42% of the ball to Liverpool's 58%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.72 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fulham and 2.33 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Liverpool?

Fulham 2-2 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fulham 27%, draw 22%, Liverpool 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
4 Jan 2026
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