Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle United v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Crystal Palace
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Newcastle United
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Crystal Palace
İNLK
Newcastle United 2-0 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle United got the better of Crystal Palace 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newcastle United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Newcastle United had 59% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 41%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 2.08 to 0.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Newcastle United and 0.50 for Crystal Palace.
What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace?
Newcastle United 2-0 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 54%, draw 23%, Crystal Palace 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.