Cacereno 2-3 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 Jan 2026

Cacereno
2-3 HT 1-2
Celta Vigo II
📅04/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Cacereno vs Celta Vigo II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.0pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cacereno v Celta Vigo II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +1%
0.96/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.93
-19% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Cacereno 2-3 Celta Vigo II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
2-3
AWAY Celta Vigo II
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II nicked a narrow win over Cacereno 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; Celta Vigo II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cacereno had 46% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 54%, shots finished 9-21.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Celta Vigo II?

Cacereno 2-3 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 31%, draw 33%, Celta Vigo II 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✗ Under 2.5
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