Athletic Bilbao II vs Ponferradina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Athletic Bilbao II v Ponferradina — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Bilbao II vs Ponferradina Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-1
Ponferradina
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao II
İS2
Athletic Bilbao II 1-0 Ponferradina — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao II nicked a narrow win over Ponferradina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Athletic Bilbao II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 54% of the ball to Ponferradina's 46%, shots finished 15-10.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ponferradina led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Athletic Bilbao II and 1.25 for Ponferradina.
What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Ponferradina?
Athletic Bilbao II 1-0 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Ponferradina?
Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 43%, draw 29%, Ponferradina 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.