Talavera CF 2-0 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 38% vs market 33.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.49/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.42
+2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talavera CF
1W-4D-1L
AWAY CD Guadalajara
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
22.09.2024 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 2-0 HT 1-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
18.02.2024 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
08.10.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-2 HT 0-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
05.02.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
18.09.2022 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF got the better of CD Guadalajara 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Talavera CF as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Talavera CF and 0.50 for CD Guadalajara.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs CD Guadalajara?

Talavera CF 2-0 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 46%, draw 31%, CD Guadalajara 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talavera CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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