CD Guadalajara 2-0 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.17/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.36
-3% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Talavera CF
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
08.10.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-2 HT 0-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
05.02.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
18.09.2022 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
2-0
AWAY Talavera CF
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara beat Talavera CF 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; CD Guadalajara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 52% of the ball to Talavera CF's 48%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Talavera CF led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for CD Guadalajara and 0.75 for Talavera CF.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Talavera CF?

CD Guadalajara 2-0 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 38%, draw 30%, Talavera CF 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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