Melilla 0-0 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.17/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.35
-2% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Cacereno
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 0-0 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
18.09.2022 Melilla Melilla 2-0 HT 1-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla and Cacereno played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Melilla at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melilla had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Melilla and 0.00 for Cacereno.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Cacereno?

Melilla 0-0 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Melilla 43%, draw 26%, Cacereno 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Melilla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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