La Union Atletico 0-1 Xerez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.4pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +59% / +59%
0.81/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-32% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Union Atletico
0-1
AWAY Xerez
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs Xerez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez edged past La Union Atletico 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Xerez found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, La Union Atletico had 51% of the ball to Xerez's 49%, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs Xerez?

La Union Atletico 0-1 Xerez in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs Xerez?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Union Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 40%, draw 24%, Xerez 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (La Union Atletico) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Union Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
22 Sep 2024
12:30 Getafe II vs Union Sur Yaiza Analysis →
13:00 Mostoles vs Real Madrid III Analysis →
13:00 Melilla vs Cacereno Analysis →
13:00 Almeria II vs Linares Deportivo Analysis →
13:00 Deportiva Minera vs Linense Analysis →
13:00 Don Benito vs CD Aguilas Analysis →