Almeria II 1-2 Linares Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Linares Deportivo EU Bookmakers 28%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+150% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria II
1-2
AWAY Linares Deportivo
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Almeria II vs Linares Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linares Deportivo edged past Almeria II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Almeria II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Almeria II had 58% of the ball to Linares Deportivo's 42%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Almeria II vs Linares Deportivo?

Almeria II 1-2 Linares Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria II vs Linares Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Almeria II 48%, draw 24%, Linares Deportivo 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Almeria II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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