Don Benito 2-1 CD Aguilas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.8pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Don Benito EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -31%
0.71/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.43
-37% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
201 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
POST-MATCH Don Benito vs CD Aguilas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Don Benito squeezed past CD Aguilas 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Don Benito made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Don Benito vs CD Aguilas?

Don Benito 2-1 CD Aguilas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Don Benito vs CD Aguilas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Don Benito win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Don Benito 37%, draw 29%, CD Aguilas 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Don Benito) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Don Benito) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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