Illescas 3-1 Tenerife II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illescas EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife II EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.69/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-39% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illescas
3-1
AWAY Tenerife II
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Illescas vs Tenerife II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illescas beat Tenerife II 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Illescas made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Illescas had 43% of the ball to Tenerife II's 57%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Illescas vs Tenerife II?

Illescas 3-1 Tenerife II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illescas vs Tenerife II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tenerife II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Illescas 34%, draw 29%, Tenerife II 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tenerife II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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