04/01/2026
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
UD Ibiza vs Eldense Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
29%
Draw
29%
26%
Away Win
26%
61%
Under 2.5
61%
39%
Over 2.5
39%
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
53%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UD Ibiza v Eldense — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
UD Ibiza
EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
Eldense
EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% /
-11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-5%
1.03/0.68
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.67/0.99
-25%
/
+38%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-31%
/
+28%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
10
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
293 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
276 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.1
Yellow Cards
2.8
POST-MATCH
UD Ibiza vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Eldense nicked a narrow win over UD Ibiza 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was UD Ibiza at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
What was the final score of UD Ibiza vs Eldense?
UD Ibiza 0-1 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UD Ibiza vs Eldense?
Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UD Ibiza 45%, draw 29%, Eldense 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UD Ibiza) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS3
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