Orihuela 1-1 Colonia Moscardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
70%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.4pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.8pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orihuela EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 14%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.65/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.22
-12% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
462 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orihuela
1-1
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Orihuela vs Colonia Moscardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orihuela and Colonia Moscardo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Orihuela at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orihuela had 51% of the ball to Colonia Moscardo's 49%, shots finished 14-13.

What was the final score of Orihuela vs Colonia Moscardo?

Orihuela 1-1 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orihuela vs Colonia Moscardo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orihuela win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Orihuela 65%, draw 23%, Colonia Moscardo 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orihuela), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orihuela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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