St. Pauli 0-0 Werder Bremen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Jan 2026

St. Pauli
0-0 HT 0-0
Werder Bremen
📅04/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
1.97
Over 2.5
63%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.63
No
37%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.56
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.27
6+ Goals
13%
11.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 31% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.52
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
5.58
X/2
11%
6.03
X/X
7%
4.99
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
15%
3.97
2/X
6%
13.2
Value flag · X/1 at 5.58 — our 20% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+6.3pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.4pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
47%
-9.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
53%
+9.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
57%
+5.6pp
37%
BTTS No
43%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pauli v Werder Bremen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.81/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.56
+17% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
– Crosses 21.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Werder Bremen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
408 Passes 338
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.10.2025 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
27.04.2025 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
14.12.2024 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-2 HT 0-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
09.04.2022 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL2
30.10.2021 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
22.07.2017 St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-1 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen HAZ

St. Pauli 0-0 Werder Bremen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli
0-0
AWAY Werder Bremen
47% Ball Possession 53%
1 Corners 0
POST-MATCH St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli and Werder Bremen played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pauli at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Pauli had 47% of the ball to Werder Bremen's 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for St. Pauli and 1.00 for Werder Bremen.

What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen?

St. Pauli 0-0 Werder Bremen in the Friendlies on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 45%, draw 21%, Werder Bremen 34%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Pauli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ More Friendlies
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