Antequera 2-2 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.5
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-11.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antequera EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 22%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
2.75/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.32
+71% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antequera
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Merida AD
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Merida AD Merida AD 0-1 HT 0-1 Antequera Antequera İS3
03.04.2022 Merida AD Merida AD 1-1 HT 0-1 Antequera Antequera İS4
14.11.2021 Antequera Antequera 0-2 HT 0-2 Merida AD Merida AD İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antequera
2-2
AWAY Merida AD
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Antequera vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antequera and Merida AD shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Antequera at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Antequera had 72% of the ball to Merida AD's 28%, shots finished 18-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Antequera and 1.00 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Antequera vs Merida AD?

Antequera 2-2 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antequera vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antequera win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Antequera 42%, draw 31%, Merida AD 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Antequera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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