Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 PEC Zwolle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.3
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
14%
4.23
X/2
13%
8.95
X/X
13%
4.94
2/1
9%
23.0
2/2
10%
6.62
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.61/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.57
-3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
24.1 Crosses 16.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
3W-2D-1L
AWAY PEC Zwolle
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.47
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
238 Passes 408
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2023 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
11.05.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
22.09.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
03.04.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-2 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
26.09.2020 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 4-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
25.08.2019 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-2 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
AWAY PEC Zwolle
2.36 xG 1.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
448 Passes 318
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 11
33 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle saw off Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Rotterdam at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 57% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 43%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.36 to 1.57 — on chances, Sparta Rotterdam could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.67 for PEC Zwolle.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?

Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 41%, draw 29%, PEC Zwolle 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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