Vitesse 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 4 Feb 2024

Vitesse
0-2 HT 0-1
Go Ahead Eagles
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Vitesse vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.67
6+ Goals
8%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 32% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.16
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
13%
5.97
X/2
15%
5.18
X/X
17%
4.35
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
18%
3.4
2/X
4%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitesse v Go Ahead Eagles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.03/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.63
-28% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 76%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
15.9 Crosses 15.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1

Vitesse vs Go Ahead Eagles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.38 xG 1.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
354 Passes 323
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 5-1 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
08.04.2023 Vitesse Vitesse 2-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
13.11.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 HT 2-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
01.05.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-2 HT 1-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
24.10.2021 Vitesse Vitesse 1-2 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
23.07.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 1-1 Vitesse Vitesse HAZ

Vitesse 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
0-2
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
0.67 xG 2.96
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
382 Passes 259
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 34
23 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles beat Vitesse 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Go Ahead Eagles as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vitesse had 58% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 42%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 0.67 to 2.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vitesse and 1.83 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Vitesse 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 32%, draw 28%, Go Ahead Eagles 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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