Utrecht 4-2 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 4 Feb 2024

Utrecht
4-2 HT 2-1
Volendam
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Utrecht vs Volendam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.68
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.82
6+ Goals
16%
7.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.48
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
22.6
X/1
25%
3.43
X/2
8%
20.0
X/X
9%
7.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
22.6
2/2
7%
15.75
2/X
5%
23.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.6 — our 13% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-13.1pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+9.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht v Volendam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.04/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.26
-30% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
24.4 Crosses 15.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3

Utrecht vs Volendam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Volendam
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.51 xG 1.30
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
345 Passes 269
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Volendam Volendam 1-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
02.04.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
12.11.2022 Volendam Volendam 0-4 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
22.12.2010 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOK
22.03.2009 Volendam Volendam 0-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
14.12.2008 Utrecht Utrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL

Utrecht 4-2 Volendam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
4-2
AWAY Volendam
2.38 xG 1.03
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
488 Passes 175
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
45 Box Touches 16
33 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Utrecht vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht got the better of Volendam 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Utrecht as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Utrecht had 68% of the ball to Volendam's 32%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 2.38 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Utrecht and 0.17 for Volendam.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs Volendam?

Utrecht 4-2 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 59%, draw 21%, Volendam 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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