CFC Hertha 2-1 Sparta Lichtenberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CFC Hertha EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Lichtenberg EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
426 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH CFC Hertha vs Sparta Lichtenberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CFC Hertha nicked a narrow win over Sparta Lichtenberg 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CFC Hertha as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of CFC Hertha vs Sparta Lichtenberg?

CFC Hertha 2-1 Sparta Lichtenberg in the Germany - Oberliga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CFC Hertha vs Sparta Lichtenberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a CFC Hertha win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CFC Hertha 48%, draw 28%, Sparta Lichtenberg 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CFC Hertha), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CFC Hertha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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