04/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Vreden vs Brünninghausen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
13%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
30%
Draw
25%
29%
Away Win
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vreden v Brünninghausen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vreden
EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Brünninghausen
EU Bookmakers 48%
+56% /
+56%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-12% /
-12%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
-6%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-37%
/
+96%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
17
Total Shots
10
9
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
270 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
392 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Vreden vs Brünninghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vreden ran out comfortable winners over Brünninghausen 4-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vreden as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Vreden vs Brünninghausen?
Vreden 4-0 Brünninghausen in the Germany - Oberliga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vreden vs Brünninghausen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vreden win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vreden 41%, draw 30%, Brünninghausen 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vreden), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Vreden)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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OBER
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4 Feb 2024