Vreden 4-0 Brünninghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
29%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
29%
Away Win
43%
-14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vreden EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Brünninghausen EU Bookmakers 48%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-6% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +96%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Vreden vs Brünninghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vreden ran out comfortable winners over Brünninghausen 4-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vreden as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Vreden vs Brünninghausen?

Vreden 4-0 Brünninghausen in the Germany - Oberliga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vreden vs Brünninghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vreden win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vreden 41%, draw 30%, Brünninghausen 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vreden), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vreden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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