Elgin City 3-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.85
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.67
6+ Goals
14%
15.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.67 — our 26% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+5.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -8%
1.84/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.39
+12% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 4.0
Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
3 Corners 6
09.11.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
14.09.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-1 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
09.03.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
06.02.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
11.11.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
02.09.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 5-1 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City swept aside Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elgin City as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Elgin City and 1.67 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Elgin City 3-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 54%, draw 26%, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elgin City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elgin City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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