Atletico Madrid 5-0 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 4 Feb 2025

Atletico Madrid
5-0 HT 3-0
Getafe
📅04/02/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - Copa del Rey – 2024/2025

Atletico Madrid vs Getafe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
28%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.13
No
45%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.32
6+ Goals
12%
12.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.62
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
20.2
X/1
12%
3.63
X/2
10%
16.0
X/X
10%
6.28
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
10%
14.7
2/X
6%
23.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
69%
-20.2pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.4pp
28%
Away Win
12%
+15.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
43%
+11.8pp
45%
BTTS No
57%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Madrid v Getafe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 15%
-16% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.32/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.70
-28% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -27%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.0 Crosses 7.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 7.0

Atletico Madrid vs Getafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Getafe
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.43 xG 0.82
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
427 Passes 340
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
03.08.2024 Getafe Getafe 1-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid HAZ
15.05.2024 Getafe Getafe 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
19.12.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-3 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
04.02.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-1 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
15.08.2022 Getafe Getafe 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1

Atletico Madrid 5-0 Getafe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid
5-0
AWAY Getafe
3.11 xG 0.54
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
383 Passes 416
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Atletico Madrid vs Getafe
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Atletico Madrid ran out comfortable winners over Getafe 5-0 in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 4 Feb 2025. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid had 49% of the ball to Getafe's 51%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 3.11 to 0.54.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Atletico Madrid and 0.83 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Getafe?

Atletico Madrid 5-0 Getafe in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 48%, draw 24%, Getafe 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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