Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 4 Feb 2026

📅04/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
37%
2.7
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.9pp
37%
Draw
34%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
0.83/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.84
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Mekelakeya
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.06.2025 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 HT 0-0 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
06.01.2025 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 0-1 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
01.03.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 2-3 HT 1-1 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hadiya Hosaena and Mekelakeya shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (30% / 37% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hadiya Hosaena had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hadiya Hosaena and 1.00 for Mekelakeya.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya?

Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 30%, draw 37%, Mekelakeya 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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