NEC Nijmegen vs Volendam Prediction — Model Probabilities
NEC Nijmegen v Volendam — Team-Based Signals
NEC Nijmegen vs Volendam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
NEC Nijmegen 1-0 Volendam — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen shaded a tight game against Volendam 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (57%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, NEC Nijmegen had 50% of the ball to Volendam's 50%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.92 to 1.14.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.33 for Volendam.
NEC Nijmegen vs Volendam Result & Final Score
NEC Nijmegen 1 - 0 Volendam in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
NEC Nijmegen vs Volendam Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 73%, draw 14%, Volendam 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.