PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Prediction — Model Probabilities
PSV Eindhoven v Heerenveen — Team-Based Signals
PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Heerenveen — Actual Match Statistics
PSV Eindhoven overpowered Heerenveen 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 62% to 38% in PSV Eindhoven's favour, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 3.81 to 0.93.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.83 a game for PSV Eindhoven against 0.83 for Heerenveen.
PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Result & Final Score
PSV Eindhoven 4 - 1 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 68%, draw 16%, Heerenveen 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.