Celje 3-1 Radomlje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 4 Feb 2026

📅04/02/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.33
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.32
2-3 Goals
36%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.57
6+ Goals
14%
5.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
71%
-1.9pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.3pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+1.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomlje EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
2.27/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.27
+4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
416 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Radomlje
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2025 Radomlje Radomlje 0-3 HT 0-2 Celje Celje SLVN
27.07.2025 Celje Celje 2-0 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
21.04.2025 Radomlje Radomlje 1-3 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
23.02.2025 Celje Celje 9-1 HT 4-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
27.10.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 4-2 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
11.08.2024 Celje Celje 4-2 HT 2-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
3-1
AWAY Radomlje
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Celje vs Radomlje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje saw off Radomlje 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Celje had 54% of the ball to Radomlje's 46%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for Celje and 1.33 for Radomlje.

What was the final score of Celje vs Radomlje?

Celje 3-1 Radomlje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Radomlje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Celje 69%, draw 18%, Radomlje 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →