Radomlje 1-3 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.55
2-3 Goals
35%
1.89
4-5 Goals
29%
2.73
6+ Goals
15%
7.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+8.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-11.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomlje EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 62%
+5% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.27/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.01
+20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
278 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomlje
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Celje
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 Celje Celje 9-1 HT 4-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
27.10.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 4-2 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
11.08.2024 Celje Celje 4-2 HT 2-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
18.05.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
17.03.2024 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
05.12.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 0-4 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomlje
1-3
AWAY Celje
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radomlje vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje beat Radomlje 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Radomlje had 31% of the ball to Celje's 69%, shots finished 5-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Radomlje and 3.67 for Celje.

What was the final score of Radomlje vs Celje?

Radomlje 1-3 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomlje vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Radomlje 28%, draw 25%, Celje 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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21 Apr 2025
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