Mura vs Maribor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mura v Maribor — Team-Based Signals
Mura vs Maribor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Maribor
SLVN
Mura 1-2 Maribor — Actual Match Statistics
Maribor nicked a narrow win over Mura 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Mura had 37% of the ball to Maribor's 63%, shots finished 8-16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mura and 1.67 for Maribor.
What was the final score of Mura vs Maribor?
Mura 1-2 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mura vs Maribor?
Before kick-off our model rated an Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mura 28%, draw 26%, Maribor 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.