Maribor 2-0 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

Maribor
2-0 HT 2-0
Mura
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.81
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.33/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.26
+27% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mura
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
11.08.2024 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 1-1 Mura Mura SLVN
09.04.2024 Maribor Maribor 5-0 HT 2-0 Mura Mura SLVN
18.02.2024 Mura Mura 3-0 HT 0-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
26.11.2023 Mura Mura 0-0 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
07.10.2023 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 2-1 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
2-0
AWAY Mura
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor beat Mura 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maribor had 58% of the ball to Mura's 42%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Maribor and 1.00 for Mura.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Mura?

Maribor 2-0 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Maribor 52%, draw 24%, Mura 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
22 Feb 2025
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