Benfica U19 3-2 Slavia Prag U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 4 Feb 2026

📅04/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.18
Draw
11%
7.78
Away
8%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
1.0
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
12.4
2-3 Goals
35%
2.87
4-5 Goals
32%
2.24
6+ Goals
19%
2.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.27
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
4%
27.0
X/1 EV+ ✓
33%
4.35
X/2
2%
29.0
X/X
6%
15.45
2/1
9%
16.75
2/2
4%
21.35
2/X
2%
31.5
Value flag · X/1 at 4.35 — our 33% vs market 18.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
80%
+0.0pp
11%
Draw
10%
+1.3pp
8%
Away Win
10%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U19 EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Prag U19 EU Bookmakers 12%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
2.21/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/2.00
+28% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% / +46%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 68%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses 13.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U19
3-2
AWAY Slavia Prag U19
3.06 xG 0.78
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
253 Passes 186
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Benfica U19 vs Slavia Prag U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U19 nicked a narrow win over Slavia Prag U19 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica U19 as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Benfica U19 had 54% of the ball to Slavia Prag U19's 46%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 3.06 to 0.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Benfica U19's control.

What was the final score of Benfica U19 vs Slavia Prag U19?

Benfica U19 3-2 Slavia Prag U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U19 vs Slavia Prag U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Benfica U19 80%, draw 11%, Slavia Prag U19 8%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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