Legia Warszawa U19 2-1 Ajax U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 4 Feb 2026

📅04/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.17
Over 2.5
67%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.32
No
31%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.1pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.4pp
33%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.5pp
67%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.5pp
69%
BTTS Yes
72%
-2.7pp
31%
BTTS No
28%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Warszawa U19 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax U19 EU Bookmakers 48%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.97/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.84/2.54
+8% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
432 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Warszawa U19
2-1
AWAY Ajax U19
2.51 xG 2.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
21 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 12
210 Passes 394
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Legia Warszawa U19 vs Ajax U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Warszawa U19 edged past Ajax U19 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Legia Warszawa U19 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Legia Warszawa U19 had 38% of the ball to Ajax U19's 62%, shots finished 21-18, expected goals 2.51 to 2.50.

What was the final score of Legia Warszawa U19 vs Ajax U19?

Legia Warszawa U19 2-1 Ajax U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Warszawa U19 vs Ajax U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Legia Warszawa U19 36%, draw 26%, Ajax U19 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajax U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajax U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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