HJK U19 3-3 Manchester City U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 4 Feb 2026

📅04/02/2026 · 🕒18:01 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
62%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.96
Over 2.5
52%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
6.67
2-3 Goals
34%
2.16
4-5 Goals
26%
2.39
6+ Goals
9%
4.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.67 — our 31% vs market 10.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
13.9
1/2
4%
18.45
1/X
6%
23.1
X/1
7%
18.45
X/2
14%
4.08
X/X
7%
9.73
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
44%
1.49
2/X
4%
20.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
12%
+8.9pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.9pp
62%
Away Win
72%
-9.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
30%
+18.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
70%
-18.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK U19 EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U19 EU Bookmakers 77%
+72% / +72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/1.66
-3% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -41%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.3
Crosses 16.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK U19
3-3
AWAY Manchester City U19
27% Ball Possession 73%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH HJK U19 vs Manchester City U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK U19 and Manchester City U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Manchester City U19 at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, HJK U19 had 27% of the ball to Manchester City U19's 73%, shots finished 8-20.

What was the final score of HJK U19 vs Manchester City U19?

HJK U19 3-3 Manchester City U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK U19 vs Manchester City U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split HJK U19 21%, draw 17%, Manchester City U19 62%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Manchester City U19), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UEGL More UEFA - Youth League
4 Feb 2026
12:00 Dynamo Kiev U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19 Analysis →
16:00 Legia Warszawa U19 vs Ajax U19 Analysis →
16:30 Paris SG U19 vs Dinamo Minsk U19 Analysis →
18:00 Maccabi Haifa U19 vs Barcelona U19 Analysis →
18:00 Benfica U19 vs Slavia Prag U19 Analysis →
18:00 Villarreal U19 vs Leverkusen U19 Analysis →