Villarreal U19 3-2 Leverkusen U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 4 Feb 2026

📅04/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.15
Over 2.5
69%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.73
No
39%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+1.0pp
17%
Draw
23%
-6.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
31%
Under 2.5
43%
-12.2pp
69%
Over 2.5
57%
+12.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
54%
+7.3pp
39%
BTTS No
46%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal U19 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Leverkusen U19 EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal U19
3-2
AWAY Leverkusen U19
3.20 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
356 Passes 259
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Villarreal U19 vs Leverkusen U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal U19 squeezed past Leverkusen U19 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Villarreal U19 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Villarreal U19 had 56% of the ball to Leverkusen U19's 44%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 3.20 to 1.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Villarreal U19's control.

What was the final score of Villarreal U19 vs Leverkusen U19?

Villarreal U19 3-2 Leverkusen U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal U19 vs Leverkusen U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Villarreal U19 57%, draw 17%, Leverkusen U19 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Villarreal U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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