Puskas U19 1-2 Sporting CP U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 4 Feb 2026

📅04/02/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
63%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.81
No
40%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.75
2-3 Goals
38%
2.04
4-5 Goals
29%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
15.9
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
20.0
1/X
7%
25.5
X/1
9%
19.9
X/2
18%
3.93
X/X
6%
9.42
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
33%
1.46
2/X
4%
21.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.0 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.4pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.5pp
63%
Away Win
74%
-10.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.4pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas U19 EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U19 EU Bookmakers 78%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +23%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
155 · 60% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas U19
1-2
AWAY Sporting CP U19
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Puskas U19 vs Sporting CP U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U19 squeezed past Puskas U19 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP U19 as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Puskas U19 had 44% of the ball to Sporting CP U19's 56%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Puskas U19 vs Sporting CP U19?

Puskas U19 1-2 Sporting CP U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas U19 vs Sporting CP U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Puskas U19 19%, draw 18%, Sporting CP U19 63%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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