Bradford City 3-0 Cheltenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.05
6+ Goals
7%
19.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 34% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.2
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
16%
3.96
X/2
7%
9.67
X/X
15%
4.54
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
9%
8.51
2/X
6%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.0pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.54/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.18
-19% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 67%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
23.0 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cheltenham Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.80 xG 1.09
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
206 Passes 320
62% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
20.02.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
01.12.2020 Bradford City Bradford City 1-2 HT 1-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
28.01.2020 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
17.09.2019 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 3-2 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
17.01.2017 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
3-0
AWAY Cheltenham Town
2.47 xG 0.27
44% Ball Possession 56%
25 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
199 Passes 260
62% Pass Accuracy 64%
30 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Cheltenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City cruised past Cheltenham Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bradford City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Bradford City had 44% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 56%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 2.47 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bradford City and 1.17 for Cheltenham Town.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Cheltenham Town?

Bradford City 3-0 Cheltenham Town in the England - 2nd Division on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Cheltenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 48%, draw 28%, Cheltenham Town 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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