Preston North End 0-0 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.47
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
14%
5.08
X/2
13%
6.02
X/X
11%
3.91
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
16%
4.58
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.14/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.44
+0% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 75%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.9 Crosses 17.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Swansea City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.73 xG 1.12
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 Passes 499
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 3-0 HT 1-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
22.12.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
26.08.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
19.04.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 4-2 HT 3-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
01.11.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 1-0 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
22.01.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preston North End
0-0
AWAY Swansea City
1.88 xG 0.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
247 Passes 255
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
33 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End and Swansea City played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Preston North End had 49% of the ball to Swansea City's 51%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.88 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Preston North End and 1.83 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Swansea City?

Preston North End 0-0 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 40%, draw 26%, Swansea City 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Preston North End) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Preston North End) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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