Hull City 2-0 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.83
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 30% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.07
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
15%
3.99
X/2
9%
10.65
X/X
13%
4.73
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
8%
9.28
2/X
7%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.48/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.69
-10% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.2 Crosses 10.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.11 xG 0.74
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
414 Passes 285
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
04.05.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-0 HT 1-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
30.09.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 1-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
10.04.2021 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-3 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İN1
03.10.2020 Hull City Hull City 1-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
02.02.2008 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
2-0
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
272 Passes 309
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City beat Plymouth Argyle 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hull City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hull City had 48% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 52%, shots finished 11-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hull City and 0.50 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Hull City 2-0 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hull City 51%, draw 26%, Plymouth Argyle 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hull City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hull City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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