Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.87
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
15%
6.11
X/2
14%
5.38
X/X
13%
5.26
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
18%
3.24
2/X
5%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.16/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.94
+33% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
17.6 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hull City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.75 xG 1.19
42% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
274 Passes 428
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-0 HT 1-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
30.09.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 1-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
10.04.2021 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-3 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İN1
03.10.2020 Hull City Hull City 1-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
02.02.2008 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
05.01.2008 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-2 HT 2-0 Hull City Hull City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1-1
AWAY Hull City
0.69 xG 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
331 Passes 359
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Argyle and Hull City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 48% of the ball to Hull City's 52%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.69 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.33 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Hull City?

Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Hull City in the England - Championship on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 36%, draw 25%, Hull City 39%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hull City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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