Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Al Hilal Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pakhtakor Tashkent v Al Hilal Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Al Hilal Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Hilal Riyadh
AŞMP
2-1
HT 1-0
Pakhtakor Tashkent
AŞMP
4-1
HT 0-1
Pakhtakor Tashkent
AŞMP
2-2
HT 0-0
Al Hilal Riyadh
AŞMP
Pakhtakor Tashkent 1-0 Al Hilal Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Pakhtakor Tashkent nicked a narrow win over Al Hilal Riyadh 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Al Hilal Riyadh at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Pakhtakor Tashkent had 37% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 63%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.02 to 0.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pakhtakor Tashkent and 2.00 for Al Hilal Riyadh.
What was the final score of Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Pakhtakor Tashkent 1-0 Al Hilal Riyadh in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pakhtakor Tashkent 24%, draw 26%, Al Hilal Riyadh 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.