Buriram United 0-0 Johor DT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.76 — our 23% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.2
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
3%
13.25
X/1
11%
5.92
X/2
12%
5.34
X/X EV+ ✓
24%
4.28
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
19%
3.58
2/X
3%
13.05
Value flag · X/X at 4.28 — our 24% vs market 18.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Johor DT EU Bookmakers 42%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.13/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.21
-56% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
21.3 Crosses 5.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Johor DT
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.59 xG 0.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
395 Passes 279
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2024 Johor DT Johor DT 0-0 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
0-0
AWAY Johor DT
0.89 xG 0.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
343 Passes 338
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Johor DT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United and Johor DT fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Buriram United had 50% of the ball to Johor DT's 50%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 0.89 to 0.17.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Johor DT?

Buriram United 0-0 Johor DT in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Johor DT?

Before kick-off our model rated an Johor DT win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 31%, draw 31%, Johor DT 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Johor DT), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Johor DT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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