Shanghai Port 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 4 Mar 2025

Shanghai Port
0-1 HT 0-1
Yokohama F. Marinos
📅04/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
AFC Sampiyonlar League – 2024/2025

Shanghai Port vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.1
Over 2.5
63%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
14%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.39
1/2
7%
21.7
1/X
4%
14.25
X/1
7%
8.72
X/2
12%
4.55
X/X
11%
5.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.33
2/X
10%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
44%
-6.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
56%
+6.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shanghai Port v Yokohama F. Marinos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
– Crosses 19.9
– Yellow Cards 2.2

Shanghai Port vs Yokohama F. Marinos Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.94 xG 1.82
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
261 Passes 502
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.02.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-2 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos AŞMP
28.11.2020 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port AŞMP
25.11.2020 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos AŞMP

Shanghai Port 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
0-1
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.38 xG 1.95
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
373 Passes 510
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos edged past Shanghai Port 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yokohama F. Marinos as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 43% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 57%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.38 to 1.95 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Yokohama F. Marinos's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shanghai Port and 1.33 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Shanghai Port 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 30%, draw 25%, Yokohama F. Marinos 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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