Al Rayyan 1-3 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.07
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
10.55
1/2
8%
21.05
1/X
8%
18.5
X/1
8%
13.05
X/2
22%
4.01
X/X
9%
6.41
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
1.76
2/X
7%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+8.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
53%
Away Win
64%
-11.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 69%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -74% / -74%
2.17/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+87% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -45%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
5.2 Crosses 18.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Rayyan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.91 xG 1.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
373 Passes 485
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Rayyan
1-3
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
0.37 xG 2.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
350 Passes 367
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah saw off Al Rayyan 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Rayyan had 51% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 49%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.37 to 2.02.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Rayyan 1-3 Al Ahli Jeddah in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 24%, draw 23%, Al Ahli Jeddah 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5
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