Al Rayyan 1-2 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.84
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
22.3
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
9%
7.39
X/2
16%
4.82
X/X
10%
5.44
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
16%
2.67
2/X
8%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.3 — our 13% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 50%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.84/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.50
-40% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.7
13.4 Crosses 8.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 0.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Rayyan
1-2
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
0.91 xG 1.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
373 Passes 485
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah squeezed past Al Rayyan 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Rayyan had 43% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 57%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.91 to 1.74.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Rayyan 1-2 Al Ahli Jeddah in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 30%, draw 24%, Al Ahli Jeddah 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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