Al Shorta 0-0 Pakhtakor Tashkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 34% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
12%
4.97
X/2
16%
6.09
X/X
15%
4.21
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.45
2/X
4%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.2pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pakhtakor Tashkent EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
Crosses 24.6
Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shorta
0-0
AWAY Pakhtakor Tashkent
0.74 xG 0.38
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
489 Passes 337
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shorta vs Pakhtakor Tashkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta and Pakhtakor Tashkent played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Shorta had 57% of the ball to Pakhtakor Tashkent's 43%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.74 to 0.38.

What was the final score of Al Shorta vs Pakhtakor Tashkent?

Al Shorta 0-0 Pakhtakor Tashkent in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shorta vs Pakhtakor Tashkent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pakhtakor Tashkent win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Shorta 35%, draw 27%, Pakhtakor Tashkent 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pakhtakor Tashkent) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pakhtakor Tashkent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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